China and the United States of America certainly share an interesting relationship – much more so than, perhaps, most other countries. It seems to be a complex love-hate relationship, especially so when their huge economies are so intricately intertwined with each other’s. It’s made even more complicated by the fact that the governments of both countries sometimes act contrary to, and are even prepared to hush up, their respective citizenry’s animosities and protests towards the other’s country’s policies (whether it’s humanitarianism, protectionism, jingoism, murderous business practises, etc.). Fortunately, today we’re not going through all that! Today’s news follows hot on the heels of the recent snafu of U.S. Senator Tim Geithner calling China a “Currency Manipulator”.
Ever since President Nixon opened the doors to China back in the 1970′s, the relationship has certainly been interesting – and complicated. Of course, now China is a critical piece of the global economy and a huge funder of the U.S. trillion-dollar debt, which is even more important in light of the U.S.’s massive deficit spending.
Still the important question remains: will China still continue buying up U.S. Treasury Bonds? 
The answer seems to be… Yes.
A senior Chinese banking regulator, Mr. Luo Ping, said that China will continue to buy US Treasury Bonds even though it knows the dollar will depreciate because such investments remain its “only option” in a perilous world, on Wednesday, 11th January 2009. China has used the dollars it accumulates selling manufactured goods to US consumers to accumulate the world’s largest holding of U.S. Treasury Bonds.
Ostensibly, China keeps buying US Treasuries, because in this very difficult environment, the US Treasury is the safest investment with the least amount of flees. It does not appear that Ping is betting on a turnaround in the US market, but rather, he is seeking a safe haven to hold China’s money.
However, the increasing US budget deficit and its potential impact on the dollar have raised questions about the future Chinese appetite for US debt.
Luo Ping, a director-general at the China Banking Regulatory Commission, said after a speech in New York that China would continue to buy Treasuries in spite of its misgivings about US finances.
Mr Luo, speaking at the Global Association of Risk Management’s 10th Annual Risk Management Convention, said: “Except for US Treasuries, what can you hold?” he asked. “Gold? You don’t hold Japanese government bonds or UK bonds. US Treasuries are the safe haven. For everyone, including China, it is the only option.”
Mr Luo, whose English tended toward the colloquial, added: “We hate you guys. Once you start issuing $1 trillion-$2 trillion [$1,000bn-$2,000bn] . . . we know the dollar is going to depreciate, so we hate you guys but there is nothing much we can do.”
However, Mr Luo said Chinese officials would encourage its banks to finance domestic mergers and acquisitions rather than provide rescue finance to distressed financial companies in other countries: “There will be no bottom-fishing of financial institutions, particularly in the US, because there is a lot of uncertainty about the quality of the books.”
Mr Luo said China intends to maintain its separation of investment and commercial banking based on its observations of the US after repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act that enforced a similar division of banking activities.
“To some extent, Glass-Steagall has fuelled the crisis,” Mr Luo said. “The separation of commercial and investment banking is likely to stay longer [in China] than before.” Like senior financial officials in other developing nations – such as Mohammad Al Jasser, vice-governor of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency – Mr Luo also spoke out against what he called America’s laissez-faire capitalism.
“Government ownership was viewed as something negative but the pendulum is swinging the other way. Perhaps banking is [no different from] public utilities where government participation is necessary,” he said.
“Deregulation in the US has gone a little bit too far. The market can’t be omnipotent.”
Also, Luo said China is not looking to make direct investment in any US financial institutions. “There will be no bottom-fishing of financial institutions, particularly in the US, because there is a lot of uncertainty about the quality of the books,” said Lou.
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